Political tensions ahead of the 2027 elections are already taking shape, and according to media entrepreneur and politician Dele Momodu, the current alignment among opposition figures may not be as organic as it seems.

In a recent interview, Momodu claimed that President Bola Tinubu is the driving force behind the growing cooperation between key opposition leaders like Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwaso.

His argument? Pressure.

“Tinubu forced all of them together,” Momodu said, suggesting that what looks like unity is actually a reaction to the current political climate rather than a deeply rooted alliance.

On the surface, a united opposition might seem like a strategic move, potentially creating a strong two-party contest. But Momodu believes the reality is more complicated.

Recent political movements appear to support his point. Obi and Kwankwaso, both prominent figures in the 2023 elections, have been at the center of discussions about coalition politics, defections, and the possibility of a joint presidential ticket.

However, these shifts have not come without controversy.

Their political decisions have sparked debates about loyalty, consistency, and whether alliances formed under pressure can truly hold when it matters most.

Momodu also challenged a common assumption in Nigerian politics, that past electoral support automatically carries into future elections.

“Are you sure Tinubu will retain all the 8 million plus votes?” he questioned, extending the same doubt to Obi and Kwankwaso.

It’s a valid point.

Voter behaviour is not static. The political landscape evolves, public sentiment shifts, and what worked in one election cycle doesn’t always translate to the next.

To back his argument, Momodu pointed to recent political outcomes, including the struggles of some high-profile politicians, such as members of the G5 group, who failed to secure victories in their own states. For him, it’s evidence that influence and popularity can quickly change.

Beyond analysis, he also sent a message to political actors and parties, particularly within the African Democratic Congress (ADC).

While welcoming new members, he made it clear that the party would not operate under pressure or the belief that a single individual holds the key to victory.

“You cannot succumb to blackmail… that only one man can make us win,” he stated.

Interestingly, Momodu drew from history to reinforce his point. He referenced the 2019 alliance between Atiku Abubakar and Peter Obi, which failed to unseat the ruling party. He also noted that their separate efforts in 2023 led to similar outcomes.

The message is clear: alliances alone don’t guarantee success.

In a more reflective tone, Momodu shared a piece of advice passed down from his late mother, one that cuts through the noise of political strategy.

“Stop running from whatever is chasing you, because you might run into what is chasing you.”

It’s a metaphor, but one that fits the moment.

As 2027 approaches, Nigerian politics is entering another cycle of recalibration, alliances forming, loyalties shifting, and narratives evolving.

But beneath it all lies a deeper question: will these moves be driven by strategy alone, or by genuine alignment of vision?

For now, the players are positioning. The real test will come when the race officially begins.